Ahead of the 2023 general elections, many prominent politicians, political gladiators, strategic opinion moulders, critical individuals and members of the public are already increasing talks about the forthcoming presidential election where citizens of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, who are eligible to vote will troop out in their large number, to elect a new President who will take over the affairs of the country for the next four years....CONTINUE READING

Although, the forthcoming 2023 presidential election in the Federal Republic of Nigeria is being considered to be a neck to neck political contest between the ruling party, All Progressives Congress (APC), and the main opposition party, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), but the main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) may still lose the election.

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This could be verified by looking at some critical factors that, democratically, contribute to which party wins a presidential election.

I mean, looking at the number of the States Governors under the control of either All Progressives Congress (APC) or Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), one may easily give it to the ruling All Progressives Congress, the chances of retaining the presidential seat of Nigeria, come 2023.

Let us be sincere, if APC is having control of about 22 States and PDP is only having control of about 13 states, let us even assume that Anambra State that is being controlled by All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA), gives her support to PDP, how will such party defeat a party that is in control of almost 2/3rd of the States in the country. Considerably, PDP may lose the 2023 Presidential poll, woefully.

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Also, taking a considerable look at how the two major political parties in the country dominate the National Assembly, there is no doubt, one will easily uphold the chances of APC to win the 2023 Presidential election, hands down.

Arguable though, APC is just single digit away from meeting the 2/3rd majority number of the two Houses, the Senate and the House of Representatives. Even, a blind can point to a party that stands better chances of winning the 2023 presidential election in Nigeria, looking at this political reality.

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However, it is better to clear one unnecessary doubt. Some individuals may be looking at possibility of the internal crisis within APC as an advantage for PDP, in anticipation. This perception could be wrong.

The fact remains that none of the two major political parties exist today without managing political rifts that may lead to defections of their members. This is political and the parties have their ways of getting over this. Hence, no party could be at advantage this time around because of internal crisis.

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