Argentina won the 2022 FIFA World Cup, and now teams will push forward towards 2026 with renewed focus as the competition shifts towards upcoming continental competitions....CONTINUE READING THE FULL ARTICLE>>>
The FIFA rankings represent football’s best attempt to list the teams according to accomplishments throughout the sport’s calendar. While the World Cup holds the most prestige, other competitions also weigh into the list’s construction and algorithm, looking to weigh all results throughout recent years as equally as possible.
FIFA rankings are important, as they are a factor in a number of competitive placements. Most notably, the FIFA rankings determine which pot a team is placed into at the World Cup draw.
The Sporting News brings you the latest FIFA rankings for January 2023 as the winter World Cup has come to a close and the international community shifts gear towards the next four-year cycle.
Latest FIFA rankings December 2022
Despite winning the 2022 World Cup, Argentina aren’t expected to claim top spot when FIFA rankings are next updated on December 22, instead moving up to second, still stuck behind South American rivals Brazil.
European nations will then round out the entire rest of the top 10, as runners-up France move into third. Second-placed Belgium drops two spots to fourth, and England remains fifth to round out the top 5. Croatia are the biggest gainers amongst the elites, finishing third at the World Cup to jump five spots to seventh.
Morocco represented the joint-biggest move up the table as they soar into 11th after their fourth-place finish.
The United States takes over as the highest-ranked North American team, leaping Mexico into 13th after reaching the Round of 16 at the World Cup. Canada, meanwhile, was one of the biggest losers this month, dropping a joint-high 12 places to 53rd after failing to earn a point at the World Cup. Japan is the highest-ranked Asian team, moving up four places into 20th.
European nations make up 11 of the top 20 nations, still dominant on the global scene as a whole. There are four South American nations, two North American representatives, two African nations, and one Asian country to complete the 20 highest-ranked nations.
Projected FIFA rankings after World Cup
| Rank | Nation | Confederation | Last (Move) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Brazil | CONMEBOL | — |
| 2. | Argentina | CONMEBOL | 3 (+1) |
| 3. | France | UEFA | 4 (+1) |
| 4. | Belgium | UEFA | 2 (-2) |
| 5. | England | UEFA | — |
| 6. | Netherlands | UEFA | 8 (+2) |
| 7. | Croatia | UEFA | 12 (+5) |
| 8. | Italy | UEFA | 6 (-2) |
| 9. | Portugal | UEFA | — |
| 10. | Spain | UEFA | 7 (-2) |
| 11. | Morocco | CAF | 22 (+11) |
| 12. | Switzerland | UEFA | 15 (+3) |
| 13. | USA | CONCACAF | 16 (+3) |
| 14. | Germany | UEFA | 11 (-3) |
| 15. | Mexico | CONCACAF | 13 (-2) |
| 16. | Uruguay | CONMEBOL | 14 (-2) |
| 17. | Colombia | CONMEBOL | — |
| 18. | Denmark | UEFA | 10 (-8) |
| 19. | Senegal | CAF | 18 (-1) |
| 20. | Japan | AFC | 24 (+4) |
Biggest climb: Morocco (22 to 11, +11), Australia (38 to 27, +11)
Biggest drop: Canada (41 to 53, -12), Qatar (50 to 62, -12)
Why are World Cup champions Argentina not No. 1 in the rankings?
Despite winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup, Argentina were not able gain enough ranking points to take over the top spot from South American rivals Brazil.
This is largely due to the fact that penalty shootout victories are not worth nearly as many ranking points as regulation or extra time victories. When Argentina lifted the trophy in Qatar, two of their knockout stage wins came via penalty shootout, beating the Netherlands in the quarterfinals on penalties before topping France in a shootout in the final.
Additionally, Argentina’s loss to Saudi Arabia in the group stage opener also has an adverse affect on their rankings. Brazil fell to Cameroon in the group stage and tasted defeat in the quarterfinals to Croatia in a penalty shootout.
When are next FIFA rankings out?
FIFA rankings are updated after each recognised international window. As such, they are generally revised several times a year depending on the FIFA calendar.
The next FIFA international window is in late March (20-28) so the next FIFA rankings will be released sometime in early April.
These are the international windows through the 2023 FIFA match calendar, along with the specific allowable matches to be played in that window. The windows apply to all confederations unless otherwise specified:
- March 20-28 (2 matches)
- June 12-20 (2 matches)
- June 16-July 16 (AFC only — Asian Cup)
- June 26-July 16 (CONCACAF only — Gold Cup)
- September 4-12 (2 matches)
- October 9-17 (2 matches)
- November 13-21 (2 matches)
How FIFA rankings are calculated
FIFA rankings have existed since 1992 and uses a points-scoring system to work out standings. The method for calculating FIFA rankings was officially changed in August 2018.
This new system works by adding or subtracting points from a team’s previous total based on results rather than using an average number of points earned over a certain period.
The number of points added or subtracted is influenced by the calibre of opponent a team faces. For example, beating a team ranked inside the top 10 will result in more points being gained than defeating a side ranked outside the top 20. The expected result of the game will also impact the number of points gained.
Specific games are given more weight too, so winning a World Cup match will result in more points than claiming victory in an international friendly.
Matches decided by penalty shootouts are a factor as well with losing teams given the same points as for a draw, while winners only get points equivalent to half a win. Losing knockout round matches of final competitions also won’t result in teams losing any points.
Here’s a calculation example provided by FIFA:
- Team A has 1300 points before the match and wins a continental qualifier against team B that has 1500 points
- For team A the formula is: P=1300+25*(1–(1/(10 exp (-(1300–1500)/600) +1)))
- For team B the formula is: P = 1500 + 25 * (0- (1 / (10 exp (-(1500-1300)/600) + 1)))
- Thus, team A wins 17 points and has P = 1317 points after the match
- Team B loses the same amount of points and thus ends up with 1483 points after the match
FIFA rankings points system
If the above example has you scratching your head, you’re not alone. But understanding the points system a bit better should help with that.
The ‘importance co-efficient’ plays a big part in determining just how many ranking points a team can earn from each fixture and is as follows:
- 5 – friendlies played outside the International Match Calendar windows
- 10 – friendlies played within the International Match Calendar windows
- 15 – UEFA Nations League matches (group stage)
- 25 – UEFA Nations League matches (playoffs and finals), Confederations’ final competitions qualifiers, FIFA World Cup qualifiers
- 35 – Confederations’ final competitions matches (before quarter-finals)
- 40 – Confederations’ final competitions matches (quarter-finals and later)
- 50 – FIFA World Cup matches (before quarter-finals)
- 60 – FIFA World Cup matches (quarter-finals, semi-finals, third place play-off and final)
The result of said match then combines with the expected result to determine what percentage of the above points are awarded.
Why are FIFA rankings important?
The FIFA rankings are “meant to create a reliable measure for comparing national A-teams”, according to a FIFA statement.
They are mainly used to “find out where their respective teams stand in world football’s pecking order and how they are progressing,” FIFA says.
Yet they are also used for some tangible purposes other than just for show. Most notably, FIFA has used its ranking system to deviate teams into pots for the World Cup draw.
For the 2022 World Cup and a number of tournaments previously, FIFA has divided the 32 teams into four pots and drawn one team from each pot. The FIFA rankings were used to split up those pots, with a few minor exceptions. With the World Cup format changing in 2026 to expand the pool of teams to 48, it’s unclear exactly how that process will take place moving forward.
They are sometimes used in other competitions in more minor areas. For example, sometimes FIFA rankings are used as tiebreakers when needed, or to seed teams in various competitions, such as when UEFA used them for seeding the draw for their World Cup playoff brackets.
