Former US President Donald Trump has been convicted on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in his historic criminal trial in New York...READ THE FULL ARTICLE FROM THE SOURCE

It is the first time a former or serving US president has been convicted of a crime

He will be sentenced on 11 July – the ex-president could face prison, but legal experts say a fine is the more likely outcome

Trump calls the verdict a “disgrace” and attacks Judge Merchan, who presided over the case

The verdict comes as he campaigns to defeat Joe Biden in November’s election and return to the White House

The court heard from 22 witnesses over six weeks, including Stormy Daniels, whose alleged sexual encounter with Trump was at the centre of this case

Trump stood accused of concealing a payment made by his former lawyer to buy the ex-adult film star’s silence shortly before the 2016 election

The 12 jurors deliberated for two days before reaching a unanimous verdict.

Donald Trump’s criminal conviction presents a remarkable collection of historic firsts.

He’s the first former US president to be found guilty of a felony. He’s the first presumptive major-party nominee to become a convicted felon as well.

The case against Trump also was a novel application of state and federal fraud and campaign finance laws, dealing with a hush-money payment to adult-film star Stormy Daniels before the 2016 presidential election.

While Trump plans his appeal and awaits a sentence that might include prison time and a hefty fine, it’s not too early to consider the potential political fallout from his conviction.

That may not be easy, however.

“We often look to history to find some kind of hint of what’s going to happen,” says Jeffrey Engel, director of the Center for Presidential History at Southern Methodist University. “But there is nothing in the record that comes even close to this.”

Trump secured the Republican presidential nomination in primary contests earlier this year and is set to head the party ticket – along with his vice-presidential pick – when the party holds its national convention in July. Polls indicate he is in a statistical dead heat with President Joe Biden and maintains a slight edge in many key swing states that will decide the election.

But those surveys also provide evidence that this conviction might change all of that.

In exit polls conducted during those Republican primaries this winter, double-digit numbers of voters said that they would not vote for the former president if he were convicted of a felony. Thirty-two percent of Republican voters in North Carolina’s March primary said Trump would not be fit for the presidency if convicted.

An April survey by Ipsos and ABC News found that 16% of those backing Trump would reconsider their support in such a situation.

Those were hypothetical convictions, however.

The former president faces three other criminal cases – involving his attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election and his handling of classified documents after leaving the White House. All are indefinitely delayed, leaving this guilty verdict as the only certain result this year.

Doug Schoen, a pollster who worked with Democratic President Bill Clinton and independent New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, says American voters may feel differently based on this specific case.

“While it’s not a great thing to be convicted of a crime, what voters will be thinking about in November is inflation, the southern border, competition with China and Russia and the money that is being spent on Israel and Ukraine.”

He adds that this conviction, because it dealt with events that took place eight years ago, will not pack the same political punch as the type of convictions voters may have been imagining when polled earlier this year.

Even a slight drop in Trump’s support, however, might be enough to matter in the kind of razor-thin race this presidential contest could become. If a few thousand voters who would have otherwise backed the former president stay home in a key state like Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, it could make all the difference.

“I do think it will have an impact and damage him as a candidate,” says Ariel Hill-Davis, co-founder of Republican Women for Progress, a group that has sought to move the party away from Trump.

She says younger voters and those who are college-educated and live in the suburbs have been concerned about Trump’s demeanour and his approach to governing.

“Those voters are really hesitant to get back in line with the Republican Party headed by Donald Trump,” she says. “The guilty verdict is going to further shore up those concerns….CONTINUE READING THE FULL ARTICLE>>>

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