Kamala Harris is now leading her opponent Donald Trump in seven national polls. The new polls show the presumptive Democratic nominee is leading the former president by between 1 and 4 points.....CLICK HERE TO READ THE FULL ARTICLE>>>
The vice president has the biggest lead in a poll conducted by Civiqs between July 27 and 30. It shows that among 1,123 registered voters, Harris leads Trump 49 percent to 45 percent. Her lead is outside the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.
Harris is ahead of the Republican presidential nominee by 3 points in a poll by Leger conducted between July 26 and 28. The poll, which surveyed 1,002 U.S. residents and had a margin of error of 3.1 percent, showed she was leading Trump with 49 percent of the vote to his 46 percent. That represents a 4-point increase in the Democrat’s lead over Trump since Leger’s June poll.
When third-party candidates were included, Harris led Trump by 7 points at 48 percent compared to the former president’s 41 percent.
Harris had a smaller lead of 2 points over Trump in four other national polls. These include a poll conducted byThe Economistand YouGov, where the vice president polled at 46 percent among 1,434 registered voters—a lead within the poll’s 3 percent margin of error.
The other polls were conducted by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, Angus Reid, and Florida Atlantic University, and showed Harris leading by 2 points—within each poll’s margin of error. The four polls were conducted between July 23 and 30.
Harris’ lead was smallest in a poll of 2,223 registered U.S. voters conducted by Morning Consult between July 26 and 28, where she led Trump by 1 point, on 47 percent to the former president’s 46 percent. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent.
Newsweekhas contacted representatives for Trump and Harris for comment via email.
The polls have been largely positive for Harris since she launched her campaign two weeks ago, showing that she has narrowed the gap on Trump compared to when Biden was on the ticket. Polls have also shown the vice president leading in multiple swing states that could decide the election in November.
However, polling experts still believe Trump could win in November. According to election analyst and statistician Nate Silver, while Harris is more likely to win the popular vote, Trump has a greater chance of winning the Electoral College.
His model shows that Trump has a 54.9 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, while Harris’ chances stand at 44.6 percent. In the popular vote, Harris has a 53.5 percent chance of winning, while Trump has a 46.5 percent chance.
Silver correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election. Meanwhile, aggregate polls from The New York Times,The Hill, and RealClearPolitics show Trump leading Harris by between 1 and 2 points. However, they also show Trump leading Harris at a smaller margin than Biden prior to the president’s exit from the race...CONTINUE READING>>
